Many inquiring minds have been asking for an update of this pool. I am pleased to present a new screen shot of the same Alt-A pool. Once again, thanks go to "CS" for the screen shot.
New chart of WMALT 2007-0C1
click on chart for sharper image
The pool data just keeps getting uglier and uglier.
Month REO 60+60 day delinquencies or greater has been rising at a nice steady pace of 2.5% to 3.5% or so every month since August 2007. The Real Estate Owned (REO) number is now a whopping 3.56% of the pool.
10-2007 0.00% 11.53%
11-2007 0.04% 13.30%
12-2007 0.64% 16.83%
01-2008 1.83% 19.32%
02-2008 3.56% 22.69%
Inquiring minds may be asking about lines 7 and 8 as well as the GEO lines at the bottom of the screen shot.
- Line 7 is the sum of lines 3 through 6 (anything 60 days late or greater plus all previous foreclosures and REOs)
- Line 8 is the sum of lines 4 through 6 (anything 90 days late or greater plus all previous foreclosures and REOs).
- The GEO lines (geographic distribution) show this pool is 48% California and 14% Florida.
22.69% of a pool that was 92.6% rated AAA is 60 days delinquent or worse. 3.56% of that pool is REO. That's an amazing performance for an AAA pool whose issue date was May, 2007. At the current rate of progression it would not be surprising to see 30% of this pool get to REO status.
Repeating what I said last month....
Washington Mutual was the underwriter. If you bought a slice of this cesspool from WaMu, are you going to buy their next offering?
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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