Friday, 20 August 2010

Billionaire Ken Fisher Explains His Biases

Ken Fisher says high levels of pessimism are a reason to buy stocks. Please consider Kenneth Fisher Recommends Stocks as Pessimism Surges.
Rising levels of investor pessimism are a reason to buy equities now, billionaire Kenneth Fisher said today.

�I�m never going to be bearish when people are pessimistic,� Fisher, who oversees $35 billion from Woodside, California, said in an interview on �Bloomberg Surveillance� with Tom Keene. �My bias when pessimism is high is to own equities.�
Explaining Ken Fisher's Bias

Ken Fisher's bias is to own stocks come hell or high water. Fisher's recommendations have as much to do with optimism or pessimism as the planet Pluto does with an octopus.

Fisher makes money being perpetually bullish on equities. It certainly helps that Fisher peddles advice that people and pension funds want to hear.

It is amazing how much money one can make mismanaging money in conjunction with a remarkably successful advertising program.

Addendum

Flashback February 26, 2007
Housing Boom!
For months now the debate has been over whether America will have a hard landing or soft landing, the answer hinging on how big 2007's housing disaster turns out to be. Well, there won't be any housing disaster. We won't have a landing at all, soft or hard. Right now the U.S. and global economies are both accelerating.

The consensus forecast is for single-digit S&P 500 earnings growth tied to a slowing economy. Disbelieve it. Experts' forecasts have been too low for four years and will be now. First, the accelerating economy will deliver earnings that exceed expectations.

This is a time to own stocks. Here are some companies that will participate in the prosperous economy of 2007:

Home builder Pulte Homes - PHM
Toll Brothers - TOL
Beazer Homes - BZH
Absurdities

Look - Anyone can be wrong, but quite frankly that is absurdly wrong.

Pulte Homes was $34 then. It is $8 now.
Toll Brothers was $34 then. It is $16 now.
Beazer Homes was $44 then. It is $3.75 now.

Someone let me know if he ever issued a sell signal on those.

Regardless, Ken Fisher is consistently bullish. In fact he HAS to be bullish because you cannot manage $35 billion without being bullish. Ken Fisher's advice is designed to do one thing - make money for Ken Fisher.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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