A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 75% of Likely Voters prefer free markets over a government managed economy. Just 14% think a government managed economy is better while 11% are not sure. These figures have changed little since December.If we have all these free-market believers, how the heck do we keep electing politicians who believe in anything but free markets?
Polling released earlier this week showed that Americans overwhelmingly believe that more competition and less regulation is better for the economy than more regulation and less competition.
Not surprisingly, America�s Political Class is far less enamored with the virtues of a free market. In fact, Political Class voters narrowly prefer a government managed economy over free markets by a 44% to 37% margin. However, among Mainstream voters, 90% prefer the free market.
Outside of the Political Class, free markets are preferred across all demographic and partisan lines. This gap may be one reason that 68% of voters believe the Political Class doesn�t care what most Americans think. Fifty-nine percent (59%) are embarrassed by the behavior of the Political Class.
For example, president Obama is the worst combination possible of socialist, corporatist, and war-monger possible. Clearly he does not believe in a free market. However, he had a very catchy message "Change You Can Believe In".
Where was the change?
Then again, please remember he never promised change, just change you could believe in. People believed. However, the few changes were all for the worse.
That still does not explain how Congressional anti-free market clowns keep getting elected if the public wants something else.
Throw the Bums Out - But Not My Bum
Caroline Baum offers one possible answer in Throw the Bums Out as Long as My Bum Stays Put
Everywhere you turn, anti-incumbent sentiment is on the rise.Campaign Contribution Bribes
You can see it in opinion polls, where six in 10 Americans, the highest ever, say most members of Congress don�t deserve to be re-elected, according to a June 11-13 Gallup survey.
You can see it in primary ballots, where long-serving lawmakers are being booted in favor of Tea Party candidates and other outsiders.
And you can see it at town meetings, at social gatherings and on talk radio, where ordinary Americans are eager to voice their discontent with the culture in Washington.
In fact, the only place you probably won�t see it is at the bi-annual congressional elections. Incumbency, it turns out, is the best credential for winning an election.
In the House of Representatives, the incumbency rate has averaged 93.3 percent since 1964, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a non-partisan independent research group tracking money in politics. It dipped below 90 percent only five times in the last 23 elections. The low was 85 percent in 1970.
Devil I Know
Even revolutions don�t produce a dramatic shake-up in the composition of the House of Representatives. The Reagan Revolution of 1980 returned 91 percent of House incumbents to their seats. The Republican Revolution of 1994 saw the GOP pick up 54 seats and take control of both houses of Congress for the first time in 40 years. Even then 90 percent of House incumbents were re-elected.
What happens to all that angst when Americans walk into the voting booth on alternate Novembers and pull the lever for 16- term Congressman Peter Porkbarrel instead of Ida Unknown? In some cases, people never make it to the polls. Voter turnout in the U.S. since 1960 has averaged 55 percent at presidential elections and 40 percent in off-year elections, well below the 75 percent to 80 percent typical of most democracies.
Those who make it to their polling place often have limited options. Many incumbents run unopposed. And if there is somebody challenging the incumbent, �that somebody is invisible, lacks credentials and isn�t an appealing alternative,� says Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report. �It�s not really a choice.�
In an April Gallup poll, 28 percent of registered voters, the lowest on record, said members of Congress deserved to be re-elected. Forty-nine percent said their own member was worthy. (Translation: Throw the bums out, but spare my bum, at least until he brings home the funds for that civic center.)
Baum's "bum-analysis" is correct. However, there are other reasons too, notably campaign contributions.
Businesses and public unions give hundreds of millions of dollars to politicians who will vote how they are paid to vote. Indeed, incumbents have a huge head start in
Topping that off, the incumbent gets free staff, free news mailings, etc. "Free" means at taxpayer expense of course.
Dumb and Dumber Choices
As to why election choices frequently appear to be between dumb and dumber, please bear in mind that corporations frequently bribe the incumbent's opponents as well, just in case.
The result is that is often hard to tell much difference between the candidates on major things like the economy. Frequently the only major differentiation between candidates is on lightening-rod issues like abortion. The banks and major corporations could not care less about such issues, so without hot and heavy money telling the candidates how to vote, energetic mudslinging surfaces.
Gerrymandering
Finally, many Congressional districts are so Gerrymandered on the basis of race, nationality, etc. that it is nearly impossible to defeat the incumbent. In such cases, there may be genuine political differences but no chance in hell of doing anything other than returning the incumbent to office, no matter how bad the incumbent candidate might be.
In Illinois, voters continually reelect known crooks up to the point of conviction and jail sentencing. Is Illinois unique? Probably not.
Will It Be Different This Time?
Unfortunately, it's highly unlikely this election will be any different than the last.
However, there is sufficient voter anger to throw out enough incumbents, many who were elected on Obama coattails, that I believe Republicans will win the House and pick up enough seats in the Senate to sink any legislation Obama wants.
That would be a good thing, even if 90% of the bums deserving to be thrown out on their bums get reelected.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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