Friday, 19 August 2011

Yet Another 2.5 Hours, 2.3% Hour Rally, This Time on Silly Rumors Eurobonds Back in Play

If someone woke up at 10:00 AM Central and looked at a stock market quotes, they would have seen the stock markets essentially flat. Once again appearances would be deceiving.



US Futures and Select Equities Approximately 10:15 Central







click on chart for sharper image



At roughly 10:00 Central things were essentially flat. Yet the ride in the S&P 500 futures shows a 26 point move from bottom to top (from 1117.50 to 1153.25)



S&P 500 Futures







click on chart for sharper image



Notes:

The purple circle is roughly 10:00 AM.

The first green bar in the second frame is today's open.



For such action to occur occasionally is perfectly normal. That such action is now typical is not. There are massive distortions in the markets where every tiny piece of news, some of it complete nonsense, sends shares in whatever direction.



European Stocks Reverse 3.6% Decline



Volatility is the norm globally. Bloomberg reports European Stocks Resume Earlier Decline; Stoxx 600 Retreats for Second Day

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index lost 0.1 percent to 226.42 at 3:30 p.m. in London, paring an earlier drop of 3.6 percent. The gauge has tumbled 22 percent from this year�s peak in February amid concern that Europe will fail to contain its sovereign-debt crisis and that the economic recovery in the U.S. will falter.



The Stoxx 600 pared an earlier loss as the European Commission said it may present draft legislation on joint bond sales by euro-area nations when completing a report on the feasibility of common debt sales, putting pressure on Germany to drop its opposition.
Someone is going to write a feasibility study and that caused a reversal?



I do not know what if anything caused today's glorious reversal, but if it is a "feasibility study" then prepare for more down because such a study is meaningless as long as Germany and France will not go along.



Heck, the nature of the proposal is such that all Eurozone members would have to approve it so even Finland could reject it.



Mike "Mish" Shedlock

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

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